Severe Network Degradation and Local Issues | Generated by AI
Question: Explain this MTR result to 185.199.108.153 and compare it with the previous trace to 104.21.78.239.
Answer:
This trace is worse than your previous one and shows two real problems:
- Severe local network instability
- Heavy packet loss on international route (China → Japan → GitHub CDN)
Let’s analyze carefully.
1. Final destination (this determines real quality)
13. cdn-185-199-108-153.github.com
Loss 52.3%
Avg 148.9 ms
This is very bad:
- ❌ 52% packet loss
- ⚠️ unstable latency
- ❌ half of packets dropped
This will cause:
- git clone hanging
- npm/pip slow
- GitHub downloads fail
- API timeout
- CI/CD failures
So this route is severely degraded.
2. The biggest red flag — your local network
1. 192.168.1.1
Loss 27.1%
Avg 28.8 ms
Worst 245 ms
This is extremely abnormal.
Local router should be:
- 0% loss
- < 3 ms latency
Your result:
- ❌ 27% packet loss
- ❌ huge jitter
- ❌ 245 ms spikes
This means your WiFi / LAN is already broken before reaching ISP.
So everything after this is affected.
3. Route path
Your route:
home router
↓
China Telecom (Guangdong)
↓
China Telecom backbone
↓
203.86.97.18 ← leaving China
↓
NTT Japan backbone
tokyjp05
tokyjp10
↓
Fastly CDN
↓
GitHub CDN
So this path is:
China Telecom → NTT Japan → Fastly → GitHub
This is normal GitHub route from China.
4. Where loss becomes real
Loss persists all the way to destination:
hop 1 27%
hop 2 17%
...
hop 9 54%
hop 12 51%
hop 13 52%
Because final hop still has 52%, this is real packet loss.
5. Compare with your previous test (Cloudflare)
Previous (Cloudflare):
loss: 6%
latency: 270 ms
This one (GitHub CDN):
loss: 52%
latency: 148 ms
Comparison:
| Test | Destination | Loss | Latency | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| first | Cloudflare | 0% | 260ms | good |
| second | Cloudflare | 6% | 270ms | medium |
| third | GitHub CDN | 52% | 148ms | terrible |
So:
- Cloudflare route = mostly OK
- GitHub route = very unstable
This is very common in China.
6. Why GitHub worse than Cloudflare
Because:
Cloudflare:
China Telecom → Cloudflare direct peering
GitHub CDN:
China Telecom → NTT → Fastly → GitHub
More hops + congested transit.
GitHub CDN often unstable in China.
7. But the real root cause
Your local network already broken:
hop 1 loss 27%
Even if upstream perfect, you’d still have issues.
So you must fix:
- WiFi interference
- router CPU overload
- bufferbloat
- 2.4GHz congestion
- bad cable
- QoS misconfig
8. What this means practically
You currently have:
- ❌ unstable WiFi
- ❌ ISP congestion
- ❌ GitHub route congestion
Triple problem.
That’s why GitHub feels very slow.
9. Quick tests
Run this:
ping 192.168.1.1
If loss > 0% → WiFi problem.
Then try:
wired ethernet
You will likely see:
- loss drop to 0%
- latency stable
Final conclusion
This trace shows:
- ❌ 52% real packet loss to GitHub CDN
- ❌ local router already unstable (27% loss)
- ⚠️ China Telecom → Japan congestion
- ⚠️ GitHub CDN route worse than Cloudflare
Main problem order:
- your WiFi / LAN (biggest)
- ISP international congestion
- GitHub route weaker than Cloudflare